Volume 37 Issue 3
Mar.  2022
Turn off MathJax
Article Contents
SUN Jianzhong, YI Yang, WEN Hong, WANG Peng, SHAO Chuanjin. Life cycle probabilistic modeling and simulation of aero-engine maintenance[J]. Journal of Aerospace Power, 2022, 37(3): 573-588. doi: 10.13224/j.cnki.jasp.20210160
Citation: SUN Jianzhong, YI Yang, WEN Hong, WANG Peng, SHAO Chuanjin. Life cycle probabilistic modeling and simulation of aero-engine maintenance[J]. Journal of Aerospace Power, 2022, 37(3): 573-588. doi: 10.13224/j.cnki.jasp.20210160

Life cycle probabilistic modeling and simulation of aero-engine maintenance

doi: 10.13224/j.cnki.jasp.20210160
  • Received Date: 2021-04-09
  • Publish Date: 2022-03-28
  • In order to evaluate the impact of different component design reliability,different operating environments and maintenance decisions on fleet operation and maintenance indicators (shop visit rate,shop visit cauce,mean time between removal,rate per flight hour,etc.),a model method for the probabilistic repair of aero-engine life cycle was proposed.Based on the life distribution of the potential reasons for repairs in different environments,and combined with maintenance decision rules and maintenance task costs,this method was employed to model the life cycle maintenance event probability of the fleet through discrete event simulation and Monte Carlo sampling.A simulation study was carried out on a typical commercial turbo fan engine.Under three different operating environments,the average shop visit rates of engines were 0.029 1,0.038 4 and 0.059 8,respectively,and the rates per flight hour were 82,91 and 119 dollars per flight hour,respectively.The simulation results showed the effectiveness of the proposed method.

     

  • loading
  • [1]
    WIBOWO A,TJAHJONO B,TOMIYAMA T.Designing contracts for aero-engine mro service providers:models and simulation[J].Procedia CIRP (The International Academy for Production Engineering),2017,59:246-251.
    [2]
    WONG J S,SCANLAN J P,ERES M H.Modelling the life cycle cost of aero-engine maintenance[R].Belfast,Northern Ireland:the 15th ISPE (International Society of Productivity) International Conference on Concurrent Engineering,2008.
    [3]
    MULLER M,STAUDACHER S,FRIEDL W H,et al.Probabilistic engine maintenance modeling for varying environmental and operating conditions[R].Glasgow,UK:Turbo Expo:Power for Land,Sea,and Air,2010.
    [4]
    ACKERT S.Engine maintenance concepts for financiers [EB/OL].[2020-12-10].http:∥www.aircraftmonitor.com/uploads/1/5/9/9/15993320/keeping_score_analysis_of_an_engine%E2%80%99s_sv_v1.pdf.
    [5]
    STRANJAK A,DUTTA P S,EBDEN M,et al.A multi-agent simulation system for prediction and scheduling of aero engine overhaul[R].Estoril,Portugal:the 7th International Joint Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems (AAMAS),2008.
    [6]
    MAYORDOMO A F,GHOBBAR A,GHIJS S,et al.Engine management:a decision support tool for strategic engine maintenance planning[R].Fort Worth,US:the 10th AIAA Aviation Technology,Integration,and Operations (ATIO),2013.
    [7]
    SPIELER S,STAUDACHER S,FIOLA R,et al.Probabilistic engine performance scatter and deterioration modeling[J].Journal of Engineering for Gas Turbines and Power,2008,130(4):150-158.
    [8]
    KRAFT J,SETHI V,SINGH R.Optimization of aero gas turbine maintenance using advanced simulation and diagnostic methods[J].Journal of Engineering for Gas Turbines and Power,2014,136(11):111601.1-111601.10.
    [9]
    CROCKER J,KUMAR U D.Age-related maintenance versus reliability centered maintenance:a case study on aero-engines[J].Reliability Engineering and System Safety,2000,67(2):113-118.
    [10]
    BURKETT M A.DM Trade:a Rolls-Royce tool to model the impact of design changes and maintenance strategies on lifetime reliability and maintenance cost[R].Barcelona,Spain:Turbo Expo:Power for Land,Sea,and Air,2006.
    [11]
    ESTéBANEZ L R,SHEHAB E,SYDOR P,et al.An integrated aerospace requirement setting and risk analysis tool for life cycle cost reduction and system design improvement[J].Procedia CIRP (The International Academy for Production Engineering),2015,38:78-83.
    [12]
    WENSKY T,WINKLER L,FRIEDRICHS J.Environmental influences on engine performance degradation[R].Glasgow UK:Turbo Expo:Power for Land,Sea,and Air,2010.
    [13]
    MILLER J N.Tutorial review:outliers in experimental data and their treatment[J].Analyst,1993,118(5):455-461.
    [14]
    ACKERT S.Engine maintenance concepts for financiers[J].Aircraft Monitor,2011,2:1-43.
    [15]
    BURKETT M A.Expanding the reliability process to more accurately assess business risks and opportunities associated with long-term maintenance contracts[R]. Barcelona,Spain:Turbo Expo:Power for Land,Sea,and Air,2006.
    [16]
    MEEKER W Q,ESCOBAR L A.Statistical methods for reliability data[M].Hoboken,US:John Wiley and Sons,2014.
    [17]
    CFM公司.中国区CFM56-5B/7B用户发动机管理和工作范围制定报告[R].北京:中国区CFM56-5B/7B用户发动机管理和工作范围制定会议,2008.
    [18]
    ZARETSKY E V,BRANZAI E V.Rolling bearing service life based on probable cause for removal:a tutorial[J].Tribology Transactions,2017,60(2):300-312.
    [19]
    ZARETSKY E V,BRANZAI E V.Effect of rolling bearing refurbishment and restoration on bearing life and reliability[J].Tribology Transactions,2005,48(1):32-44.
    [20]
    CHEN X.Foreign object damage on the leading edge of a thin blade[J].Mechanics of Materials,2005,37(4):447-457.
  • 加载中

Catalog

    通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
    • 1. 

      沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院 沈阳 110142

    1. 本站搜索
    2. 百度学术搜索
    3. 万方数据库搜索
    4. CNKI搜索

    Article Metrics

    Article views (644) PDF downloads(114) Cited by()
    Proportional views
    Related

    /

    DownLoad:  Full-Size Img  PowerPoint
    Return
    Return