Volume 28 Issue 3
Mar.  2013
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LIU Qi, WANG Nan, TANG Min. Bayes sequential test technique for binomial product based on posterior probability[J]. Journal of Aerospace Power, 2013, 28(3): 494-500.
Citation: LIU Qi, WANG Nan, TANG Min. Bayes sequential test technique for binomial product based on posterior probability[J]. Journal of Aerospace Power, 2013, 28(3): 494-500.

Bayes sequential test technique for binomial product based on posterior probability

  • Received Date: 2012-04-16
  • Publish Date: 2013-03-28
  • Defects of Bayes hypothesis test method based on posterior loss and sequential posterior odd test (SPOT) method based on risks were analyzed. According to the requirement of binomial product's Bayes sequential test in equipment test and evaluation, considering the constraints of producer's risk and consumer's risk, posterior probability based sequential test model (PBSTM) was constructed, the PBSTM solving algorithm and formulas of actual posterior risks were presented. At last, with an example in equipment reliability analysis, the superiority and effectiveness of PBSTM was proved by data.The result shows :PBSTM guaranteed in theory that the results of sequential test can satisfy the small probability event principle and risks requirement simultaneously, and avoid the defects of existing methods.

     

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