Volume 40 Issue 9
Sep.  2025
Turn off MathJax
Article Contents
DOU Wei, LIU Xiaoyang, SUN Shengdi. Reliability fuzzy allocation of rotating machinery considering failure correlation[J]. Journal of Aerospace Power, 2025, 40(9):20240235 doi: 10.13224/j.cnki.jasp.20240235
Citation: DOU Wei, LIU Xiaoyang, SUN Shengdi. Reliability fuzzy allocation of rotating machinery considering failure correlation[J]. Journal of Aerospace Power, 2025, 40(9):20240235 doi: 10.13224/j.cnki.jasp.20240235

Reliability fuzzy allocation of rotating machinery considering failure correlation

doi: 10.13224/j.cnki.jasp.20240235
  • Received Date: 2024-04-18
    Available Online: 2025-01-07
  • In the reliability design process of rotating machinery, the assumption of failure independence between different components may lead to unsatisfactory results in reliability allocation. Therefore, a reliability allocation method based on failure correlation and fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (FAHP) was proposed. Based on the analytic hierarchy process model and initial evaluations, a non-fuzzy evaluation matrix was constructed for all system components, aiming to reduce the subjective influence from the initial evaluations. By introducing the load dispersion coefficient, a failure correlation factor reflecting the failure correlation between components was devised to adjust the coefficients of complexity, severity, and occurrence within the evaluation matrix, and the reliability weights of components were calculated. A reliability allocation model was constructed by inputting reliability weights into the Gumbel Copula function. Taking a liquid rocket engine turbopump as an example, a comparative analysis was conducted. Since taking into account failure correlation, the proposed method can provide a more reasonable and lower cost reliability allocation scheme, where the turbine and shell with higher failure hazard were reasonably allocated higher reliability indexes of 0.99982 and 0.99992, and the dimensionless cost of system was 95.21305, much lower than the results under the assumptions of failure independence and negative correlation.

     

  • loading
  • [1]
    方明. 机械系统概念设计阶段可靠性分配方法研究[D]. 天津: 天津大学, 2013. FANG Ming. Research on reliability allocation method of mechanical system in conceptual design stage[D]. Tianjin: Tianjin University, 2013. (in Chinese

    FANG Ming. Research on reliability allocation method of mechanical system in conceptual design stage[D]. Tianjin: Tianjin University, 2013. (in Chinese)
    [2]
    KIM K O, YANG Y, ZUO M J. A new reliability allocation weight for reducing the occurrence of severe failure effects[J]. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2013, 117: 81-88.
    [3]
    KAPUR K C, LAMBERSON L R. Reliability in engineering design[M]. New York: John Wiley & Sons, 1977.
    [4]
    向宇, 黄大荣, 黄丽芬. 基于灰色关联理论AGREE方法的BA系统可靠性分配[J]. 计算机应用研究, 2010, 27(12): 4489-4491. XIANG Yu, HUANG Darong, HUANG Lifen. Reliability allocation of BA system based on grey relative theory and AGREE[J]. Application Research of Computers, 2010, 27(12): 4489-4491. (in Chinese

    XIANG Yu, HUANG Darong, HUANG Lifen. Reliability allocation of BA system based on grey relative theory and AGREE[J]. Application Research of Computers, 2010, 27(12): 4489-4491. (in Chinese)
    [5]
    DI BONA G, FORCINA A, PETRILLO A, et al. A-IFM reliability allocation model based on multicriteria approach[J]. International Journal of Quality & Reliability Management, 2016, 33(5): 676-698.
    [6]
    古莹奎, 黄开启. 基于领域专家知识的发动机模糊可靠性分配方法[J]. 航空动力学报, 2009, 24(5): 1143-1149. GU Yingkui, HUANG Kaiqi. Fuzzy reliability allocation method for engine based on the experts’ knowledge[J]. Journal of Aerospace Power, 2009, 24(5): 1143-1149. (in Chinese

    GU Yingkui, HUANG Kaiqi. Fuzzy reliability allocation method for engine based on the experts’ knowledge[J]. Journal of Aerospace Power, 2009, 24(5): 1143-1149. (in Chinese)
    [7]
    MAHAPATRA G S, MANECKSHAW B, BARKER K. Multi-objective reliability redundancy allocation using MOPSO under hesitant fuzziness[J]. Expert Systems with Applications, 2022, 198: 116696.
    [8]
    WANG Weibo, LIU Wenxiu, FANG Yu, et al. Reliability analysis of subway sliding plug doors based on improved FMECA and Weibull distribution[J]. Eksploatacja i Niezawodność-Maintenance and Reliability, 2024, 26(2): 178275.
    [9]
    YU H, ZHANG G, RAN Y, et al. A comprehensive and practical reliability allocation method considering failure effects and reliability costs[J]. Eksploatacja i Niezawodność-Maintenance and Reliability, 2018, 20(2): 244-251.
    [10]
    YANG Zhou, BAI Hui, WANG Hongju, et al. Research on the comprehensive allocation method for a vehicle hydraulic braking system based on partial fuzzy ratings and considering failure correlation[J]. International Journal of Fuzzy Systems, 2024, 26(5): 1634-1650.
    [11]
    LEI Jingzhe, LING Chunyan, XIE Min, et al. Multitype optimal component allocation of multicomponent systems considering fuzzy state[J]. IEEE Transactions on Fuzzy Systems, 2023, 31(7): 2197-2209.
    [12]
    王保帅, 尹家悦, 胡珊珊, 等. 基于层次分析法和群体决策的智能电能表可靠性分配技术研究[J]. 电测与仪表, 2021, 58(12): 169-174. WANG Baoshuai, YIN Jiayue, HU Shanshan, et al. Research on reliability allocation technology of smart meter based on analytic hierarchy process and group decision-making[J]. Electrical Measurement & Instrumentation, 2021, 58(12): 169-174. (in Chinese

    WANG Baoshuai, YIN Jiayue, HU Shanshan, et al. Research on reliability allocation technology of smart meter based on analytic hierarchy process and group decision-making[J]. Electrical Measurement & Instrumentation, 2021, 58(12): 169-174. (in Chinese)
    [13]
    BAI Bin, XIE Chuxiong, LIU Xiangdong, et al. Application of integrated factor evaluation analytic hierarchy process T-S fuzzy fault tree analysis in reliability allocation of industrial robot systems[J]. Applied Soft Computing, 2022, 115: 108248.
    [14]
    黄洪钟, 邓哲, 黄山, 等. 基于改进FCEM的工业机器人可靠性分配与预测[J]. 电子科技大学学报, 2023, 52(1): 132-139. HUANG Hongzhong, DENG Zhe, HUANG Shan, et al. Application of improved fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method in reliability allocation and prediction of industrial robots[J]. Journal of University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, 2023, 52(1): 132-139. (in Chinese

    HUANG Hongzhong, DENG Zhe, HUANG Shan, et al. Application of improved fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method in reliability allocation and prediction of industrial robots[J]. Journal of University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, 2023, 52(1): 132-139. (in Chinese)
    [15]
    谢里阳. 机械可靠性理论、方法及模型中若干问题评述[J]. 机械工程学报, 2014, 50(14): 27-35. XIE Liyang. Issues and commentary on mechanical reliability theories, methods and models[J]. Journal of Mechanical Engineering, 2014, 50(14): 27-35. (in Chinese

    XIE Liyang. Issues and commentary on mechanical reliability theories, methods and models[J]. Journal of Mechanical Engineering, 2014, 50(14): 27-35. (in Chinese)
    [16]
    杨周, 朱云鹏, 张义民, 等. 基于Copula函数的数控车床可靠性综合分配方法[J]. 兵工学报, 2016, 37(1): 131-140. YANG Zhou, ZHU Yunpeng, ZHANG Yimin, et al. A comprehensive reliability allocation method for numerical-controlled lathes based on copula function[J]. Acta Armamentarii, 2016, 37(1): 131-140. (in Chinese

    YANG Zhou, ZHU Yunpeng, ZHANG Yimin, et al. A comprehensive reliability allocation method for numerical-controlled lathes based on copula function[J]. Acta Armamentarii, 2016, 37(1): 131-140. (in Chinese)
    [17]
    SHEN Linjie, ZHANG Yugang, ZHAO Qingyan, et al. A reliability allocation methodology for mechanical systems with motion mechanisms[J]. IEEE Systems Journal, 2022, 16(4): 5596-5607.
    [18]
    ZHANG Yugang, YU Tianxiang, SONG Bifeng. A reliability allocation method of mechanism considering system performance reliability[J]. Quality and Reliability Engineering International, 2019, 35(7): 2240-2260.
    [19]
    张玉刚, 孙杰, 喻天翔. 考虑不同失效相关性的系统可靠性分配方法[J]. 机械工程学报, 2018, 54(24): 206-215. ZHANG Yugang, SUN Jie, YU Tianxiang. A reliability allocation method considering failure correlation based on vine copula[J]. Journal of Mechanical Engineering, 2018, 54(24): 206-215. (in Chinese

    ZHANG Yugang, SUN Jie, YU Tianxiang. A reliability allocation method considering failure correlation based on vine copula[J]. Journal of Mechanical Engineering, 2018, 54(24): 206-215. (in Chinese)
    [20]
    RAJINIKANTH V, SONI M K, MAHATO B, et al. Microstructural investigation of rolling contact fatigue (RCF) on a failed planetary gear of a windmill gearbox[J]. Engineering Failure Analysis, 2021, 121: 105167.
    [21]
    CHEN C T. Extensions of the TOPSIS for group decision-making under fuzzy environment[J]. Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 2000, 114(1): 1-9.
    [22]
    屈梁生, 何正嘉. 机械故障诊断学[M]. 上海: 上海科学技术出版社, 1986. QU Liangsheng, HE Zhengjia. Mechanical fault diagnosis[M]. Shanghai: Shanghai Scientific & Technical Publishers, 1986. (in Chinese

    QU Liangsheng, HE Zhengjia. Mechanical fault diagnosis[M]. Shanghai: Shanghai Scientific & Technical Publishers, 1986. (in Chinese)
    [23]
    Department of the ARMY. Failure modes, effects and criticality analysis (FMECA) for command, control, communications, computer, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (C4ISR) facilities[R]. New York: National Aeronautics and Space Administration, 2006.
    [24]
    BOWLES J B, PELÁEZ C E. Fuzzy logic prioritization of failures in a system failure mode, effects and criticality analysis[J]. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 1995, 50(2): 203-213.
    [25]
    YADAV O P, ZHUANG Xing. A practical reliability allocation method considering modified criticality factors[J]. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2014, 129: 57-65.
    [26]
    WU Yuanyuan, SUN Wenlei. Research on the reliability allocation calculation method of a wind turbine generator set based on a vine copula correlation model[J]. Energy Science & Engineering, 2021, 9(9): 1543-1553.
    [27]
    王博. 液体火箭发动机组件研制阶段可靠性评估技术研究[D]. 长沙: 国防科技大学, 2020. WANG Bo. Research on reliability evaluation technology of liquid rocket engine components in development stage[D]. Changsha: National University of Defense Technology, 2020. (in Chinese

    WANG Bo. Research on reliability evaluation technology of liquid rocket engine components in development stage[D]. Changsha: National University of Defense Technology, 2020. (in Chinese)
    [28]
    WANG Bo, JIANG Ping, LI Wenhua. Space product reliability evaluation in two-stage development based on scaling factor[J]. IEEE Access, 2020, 8: 92565-92572.
    [29]
    KIM K O, ZUO M J. Optimal allocation of reliability improvement target based on the failure risk and improvement cost[J]. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2018, 180: 104-110.
    [30]
    张根保, 王国强, 何文辉, 等. 基于任务的数控机床可靠性分配技术研究[J]. 中国机械工程, 2010, 21(19): 2269-2273. ZHANG Genbao, WANG Guoqiang, HE Wenhui, et al. Research on reliability allocation technology of CNC machine tools based on task[J]. China Mechanical Engineering, 2010, 21(19): 2269-2273. (in Chinese

    ZHANG Genbao, WANG Guoqiang, HE Wenhui, et al. Research on reliability allocation technology of CNC machine tools based on task[J]. China Mechanical Engineering, 2010, 21(19): 2269-2273. (in Chinese)
  • 加载中

Catalog

    通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
    • 1. 

      沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院 沈阳 110142

    1. 本站搜索
    2. 百度学术搜索
    3. 万方数据库搜索
    4. CNKI搜索

    Article Metrics

    Article views (602) PDF downloads(32) Cited by()
    Proportional views
    Related

    /

    DownLoad:  Full-Size Img  PowerPoint
    Return
    Return